This is the May 2026 release of the OpenBrand Consumer Price Index (CPI) – Durable Goods report that covers price movements in April 2026.
DISCLAIMER: This report is provided ‘as is’ for informational purposes only. OpenBrand makes no representations or warranties regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the data. Users assume all risks associated with their use of this report. OpenBrand shall not be liable for any losses or damages arising from the use of this report.
Promotions Limit Appliance Price Growth Despite Macroeconomic Pressures
In April, price growth for consumer durable goods accelerated with a month-over-month (MoM) increase of +0.42%. This is up from a revised monthly +0.38% increase in March. Across our four product groups, three showed month-over-month acceleration, with home improvement showing the only price growth slowdown. While the appliance group is amongst the three that showed an acceleration in price growth month-over-month, the longer run trend has been downwards. In this month’s OpenBrand CPI-DG report, we take a deeper look at what (and who) has been driving this trend.
Appliance prices have generally trended downward in recent years due to globalized manufacturing, strong retail competition, and production efficiencies that have limited pricing power. More recently, despite rising oil prices, appliance prices have shown little increase as manufacturers and retailers absorb higher costs or offset them through promotions and supply chain adjustments. In this release of the OpenBrand CPI of Durable Goods, we take a deeper dive into appliance price movements.
Much of this downward trend has been driven by smaller appliances—such as air purifiers, countertop cooking products, and vacuums—where rapid innovation, lower price points, and intense competition have put consistent downward pressure on prices. In contrast, price movements among larger appliances have been more mixed: refrigerators have generally trended flat to slightly downward, while categories like dishwashers and ranges have seen more upward pressure, reflecting differences in cost structures, feature upgrades, and pricing dynamics across major appliance segments.
While larger appliances have not experienced the same degree of price easing as smaller appliances, promotional activity suggests the story is more nuanced. As shown in the chart below, LG Electronics stands out with significantly higher promotional activity compared to the same period last year, indicating that even in categories with more stable or rising price trends, consumers can still find meaningful deals through increased discounting.
Table of Contents
- Key CPI Takeaways for April 2026 & Macroeconomic Outlook
- Product Group Highlights
- CPI 2026 Forecast: Macroeconomic Summary
- Methodology
April 2026 OpenBrand CPI Summary and Macroeconomic Outlook
Overall OpenBrand Consumer Price Index Movement: The OpenBrand CPI of Durable Goods recorded a +0.42% monthly change in April, notching the twenty-second consecutive month-over-month increase and 24th of the last 25th months. All product groups experienced price growth this month.
Discount Trends: April brought mixed changes in discount activity to the durable goods sector, with magnitude month-over-month falling to 19.1% of all durable goods from 19.3% in the month prior. The typical frequency increased to 25.7%, up from 25.2% the month prior.
Product Group Price Trends: Prices of all groups climbed month-over-month, while all product groups except Home Improvement experienced a slowdown in the rate of growth from the month prior. The group summary is as follows:
- Appliance Group (+0.08%)
- Communication Group (+0.50%)
- Home Improvement Group (+0.14%)
- Recreation Group (+0.87%)
Product Group Highlights
CPI: Appliances
Prices for appliances increased on a month-over-month basis in April to +0.08%, rising from a revised -0.01% in the month prior. The positive price growth was at least partially driven by the typical discount magnitude decreasing to 17.0% from 17.2%, while the frequency of discounts increased to 41.3% from 41.1% the month prior. The discount frequency has been trending upwards for numerous months for the appliance group, beginning in December 2025 and continuing into 2026.
CPI: Communication
Prices of communication devices, including phones, tablets, computers, and printers, rose on a month-over-month basis to +0.50%, up from a revised +0.33% the month prior. Discount frequency decreased from 15.2% to 14.7%, while magnitude remained unchanged at 19.3% from March to April. The acceleration in price growth was at least partially driven by the decrease in frequency of discounts.
CPI: Home Improvement
Prices for home improvement goods experienced a deceleration in growth this month, decreasing to +0.14% on a month-over-month seasonally-adjusted basis in April, falling from a revised +0.44% in the month prior, showing 55 consecutive month-over-month flat or monthly increases. The deceleration in price growth was at least partially driven by the increase in the typical discount frequency (up almost 2 percentage points from last month).
CPI: Recreation
The rate of price growth of recreational products, including TVs, headphones, and speaker systems, experienced acceleration this month, increasing to +0.87% on a month-over-month seasonally-adjusted basis in April, up from a revised +0.67% in March. Both discount magnitude (from 23.7% in March to 23.8% in April) and discount frequency (from 31.7% in March to 32.0% in April) grew slightly this month, but prices for the recreation group also grew. Given this price growth in the face of both a higher discount magnitude and an increase in frequency of discounts, it is most likely that shelf prices for recreation products were set higher in April.
Macroeconomic Outlook Update
As of May 2026, the outlook for the U.S. durable goods sector is mixed, shaped by both cost pressures and resilient consumer activity. Key demand indicators are showing signs of strength: Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence are both on the rise in 2026. Personal Consumer Expenditures are up by $195.4 billion as of March 2026.
A sharp rise in global energy prices, driven largely by disruptions in the Middle East and constrained flows through the Strait of Hormuz, however, has significantly increased production, transportation, and input costs. Oil benchmarks such as Brent Crude are now projected to average around $105 per barrel in the second quarter, a dramatic upward revision that is feeding into broader inflation.
For durable goods manufacturers, this translates into sustained cost pressure across materials like steel, plastics, and electronic components, as well as higher logistics expenses. As a result, pricing flexibility remains limited, keeping appliance and other durable goods prices elevated despite promotional activity.
At the same time, monetary policy has turned more restrictive, adding another layer of pressure to interest-rate-sensitive purchases. The Federal Open Market Committee is now expected to delay rate cuts until December 2026. This shift is already weighing on demand: real GDP growth is decreasing in 2026. For the durable goods sector this environment suggests increased reliance on discounting to stimulate sales.
Labor market conditions are also softening, further complicating the outlook. The hiring rate continues to fall, currently reported at 3.1%. Large layoffs are not currently happening, but nor are companies increasing their hiring. Slower income growth and rising uncertainty are likely to dampen consumer confidence, particularly for discretionary durable goods purchases. For manufacturers and retailers of durable goods, this combination of cost inflation and weakening demand creates a difficult balancing act between maintaining margins and preserving market share.
Looking ahead, persistently high oil prices could further erode growth and push inflation higher, potentially delaying monetary easing even longer. Additional geopolitical escalation or damage to key energy infrastructure could amplify these effects. Until more relief occurs – such as what is happening with keeping tariffs below the maximum rate – then, the durable goods sector is likely to operate in a constrained environment defined by elevated costs, cautious consumers, and limited policy support.
Note: This summary is based on data available as of early May 2026 and may be subject to revisions in future releases. Special thanks to Jordan Carter, Lauren Finck, and Bryce Tecson for their contributions to this month’s report.
For questions about the report, please contact Ralph McLaughlin at ralph@openbrand.com
For press inquiries, please contact press@openbrand.com
About the OpenBrand CPI
This report offers insights into price trends across major consumer product categories representing a select mix of both durable goods (see methodology below for more details). The data used in this report leverages OpenBrand’s industry-leading library of durable goods pricing, promotion, and availability for over 1.4 million individual products. This is more than ten times the coverage by the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Consumer Price Index, allowing more timely and granular reporting of price changes in the market.
This free monthly report provides a broad summary of price changes (including promotional activity), category-specific pricing and promotional trends, and macroeconomic context. For those seeking deeper insights, weekly CPI reporting and monthly CPI forecasts (released next week) are available on a subscription basis with up to same-day SKU-level pricing data available in bulk downloadable files.
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OpenBrand Methodological Notes
The OpenBrand CPI of Durable Goods is constructed using a data-driven methodology that ensures accuracy, timeliness, and transparency in measuring price trends for both short and long-lasting consumer products. The methodology consists of the following key components:
Data Collection
- Real-Time Price Tracking: Prices are sourced daily from online marketplaces, retail websites, and brick-and-mortar store listings.
- Retailer & Manufacturer Data: Aggregates pricing information from major retailers, direct-to-consumer brands, and wholesale suppliers into broader consumer categories.
- Temporal Coverage: Captures price variations over time, including daily discounts and price promotions
Product Selection & Tracking
- Durable and Goods Focus: The index includes products with an expected lifespan of three years or more, such as home appliances, consumer electronics, and tools.
- Brand & Model Tracking: Individual brands and models are monitored to reflect pricing shifts within competitive product segments, including both permanent changes in listing price as well as temporary promotional pricing.
Price Calculation, Adjustments, and Weighting
- Price Calculation: Tracks month-over-month and year-over-year price movements to measure price stability in the marketplace and take into account both longer-term changes in pricing (such as changes in manufacturer’s suggested retail price) as well as more short-term changes in pricing, such as promotional discounts and sales prices.
- SKU-Removal Instead of Hedonic Adjustments: When a product (or SKU) becomes unavailable in the BLS goods basket, the BLS implements a SKU-replacement procedure whereby the next most similar product is used in its place, and a quality (hedonic) adjustment procedure is performed to get closer to an apples-to-apples price comparison. Since OpenBrand has data on nearly 100% of the SKUs pricing history in a given product category, we can simply remove that SKU from the basket and rely on price changes of the remaining SKUs in that basket. This eliminates the need for hedonic adjustment in the OpenBrand CPI basket.
- Weighting and Aggregation Method: A weighted geometric mean formula is used to minimize volatility and improve stability in price trend analysis at both the product grouping and category level. Instead of using sales-volume weights when aggregating the index, we take an alternative approach by using persistence-based weights for aggregation. Instead of more frequently purchased items getting more weight in the BLS’ CPI calculation, OpenBrand takes a more novel approach by weighting items with a more established price history in the market more heavily in our CPI calculation than items with a less established history.
Reporting & Updates
- High-Frequency Updates: Published freely on a monthly basis, with a subscription option for daily summaries across categories, sub-categories, and individual products.
- Comparative Benchmarks: We aggregate pricing as analogously as possible to traditional BLS CPI measures for benchmarking purposes.
- Transparency & Accessibility: Provides both open and paid data access for journalists, researchers, businesses, and policymakers.
By leveraging real-time data and advanced statistical techniques, the OpenBrand CPI offers an accurate and dynamic measure of pricing trends, helping businesses and consumers make informed decisions in an evolving economic landscape.
OpenBrand CPI – Durable Goods
Groups and Products
Appliance Group
Air Conditioners
Air Purifiers
Beverage Coolers
Blenders
Coffee Makers
Cooktops & Wall Ovens
Countertop Cooking
Countertop Microwaves
Dehumidifiers
Dishwashers
Dryers
Freezers
Icemakers
Laundry
Ranges
Refrigerators
Vacuums
Washers
OTR (Over-the Range Microwaves)
Communications Group
Business Printers
Desktops
Printers
Headsets
HED
Ink
Large Printers
MFP Copiers
Monitors
Notebooks
Personal & SOHO Printers
Projectors
Smartphones
Tablets & Detachables
Toner
Wearables
Wireless Routers
Recreation Group
Bluetooth Speakers
Bluray
Digital Camcorders
Digital Cameras
Headphones
Media Players
Photo Paper
Sewing Machines
Sound Bars
Speaker Systems
TVs
VAW Speakers
Home Improvement Group
Bathroom Faucets
Bathroom Sinks
Bathroom Vanity
Bathtubs
Cutting Machines
Carpets
Door Locks
Exterior Paints
Exterior Stains
Floor Tiles
Garden Hoses
Generators
Grass Seed
Handhelds
Hand Tools
Hardwood Flooring
Interior Paints
Interior Stains
Kitchen Cabinets
Kitchen Cleanup
Kitchen Faucets
Lawn Fertilizer
Lawn Products
Log Splitters
Mowers
Outdoor Cooking
Outdoor Cooking Accessories
Paint Supplies
Pesticides
Shower Stall and Enclosures
Power Tools
Power Tools Accessories
Pressure Washer
Replacement Batteries
Shower Doors
Shower Heads
Smart Doorbells
Smart Locks
Smart Cameras
Smart Thermostats
Snow Throwers
Spray Paint
Toilets
Vinyl Flooring
Water Filtration
Weed Killer
PREPARED BY
Ralph McLaughlin
Ralph McLaughlin is Chief Economist at OpenBrand, bringing nearly two decades of experience in economics, data analytics, and forecasting. His expertise spans industrial economics, applied econometrics, and housing market dynamics. Previously, he served as Chief Economist at Trulia and Haus, Deputy Chief Economist at CoreLogic, and Senior Economist at Realtor.com. Ralph held academic appointments at USC, San Jose State University, and University of South Australia. He earned a PhD in planning, policy, and design from UC Irvine and a BA in geography and regional development from the University of Arizona. Ralph is also an FAA-certified commercial pilot and instructor.
Contact Us
For questions about the report, contact Ralph McLaughlin at ralph@openbrand.com
For press inquiries, contact press@openbrand.com
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